Wednesday 19 August 2015

Will there be a war now between Muslims and Christians?

The catholic and protestant Christians fought for hundred of years which part of Christianity was the right for Europe to have. Now these religions are mixed together and no one bothers and members of both  do not pay much attention to religion. The Muslim's however are now fighting again about what group to belong to. Sunni where the majority under Saddam Hussein in Iraq which now in a way has turned into Islamic State which is trying to take back the ground Saddam lost because of the US interruption since 2003. The Shia strongholds are Iran and Syria. This war is likely to continue for many years to come. The problem is the US who interferes in this war now and then, thinking that the war will affect the US. It will not. But if the US stopped interfering, the threat to US will disappear, after the Muslims got their revenge.

The problem for the US is Israel. There are 6 million Jews in each country. together, about 90 percent of the worlds Jewish population. The countries are linked together very strongly. Israel is situated in the middle of the Muslim world. Israel want to bomb Iran because their work to eventually get an atomic bomb. The US congress seems to support Israel at present but the president wants no war with Iran and prefers negotiations.









Friday 22 May 2015

World sympathy for USA has reached its top and is now slowly going into a very long bear market. How come. What happened. Where are we now and what is coming next.

The West's sympathy for USA probably reached a peak from 1945 to 2001. Nine Eleven - September 11, 2001 the Bin Laden attack at the World Trade Centre - was another peak for world sympathy for the USA.

The US invaded Afghanistan to search for Bin Laden and the high sympathy started to top out. The down trend started 2003 by invasion of Iraq. This country was ruled by a Sunni Muslim, Saddam Hussein. He ordered his best troops to take their weapons and together with the best military advisers with big war experience to hide or leave for north of the country close to Syria. This war machine started to plan to take back their territory as soon as the US troops had left the country. The plan took more than 10 years before the World saw the the first signs of action and named the movement ISIS or IS. Today the Sunnis have taken back more than half of Iraq. The Shia Muslims who took over after Saddam were taken by surprise and so was the US. Meanwhile the US had moved the main part of its fleet from the Atlantic to the Pacific because now it was time to take care of the interests in Asia. Obama lost his majority in the congress and suddenly there was no real leader in the US. A lame duck President who made Russia an enemy with help of a divided Europe on sanctions.

So the White House now has a war in Syria and Iraq, a Russia  who has a president with 85 percent backing of his people and Asia which need military help. Too much for a lame duck president.

Saddam said before the US invasion that he will get a 20 million soldiers to get Israel out of the Middle East. The same target does Iran have and Syria. Israel is surrounded by Muslims and has turned to the congress instead of the president to bomb Iran.

My view now is that when IS is ready the Muslims will attack Israel.




Saturday 21 February 2015

West against Russia. What will happen is the following after Russia's downgrade by Moody's

Moody’s also said that Russia will experience a deep recession in 2015 and a continued contraction in 2016.

This seems to be the goal of the West but Europe does not understand that yet. The war in Ukraine is over and Russia does not want any more. There will be peace. Other problems will come into focus again. Mainly the West's economy. The debt problem is the main focus. Europe and the US will make it with no growth, no interest rates and deflation. Not until the six year bull market in the stock markets has reached is final top and the big bear market starts. Then the West will also experience recession 2015 and continued contraction 2016. There will be no money left to stop that depression like in 1960 and 1990. The 2008 stock market crash did not become a depression because new money stopped that.

There is 30 years between depressions. If a depression does not come there will be a Great depression after 60 years. The last Great depression was 1930, but nothing happened 1960 or 1990. The year 2020 there will be 90 years without even a depression. This very long cycle has lasted for a very long time and has not stopped. The question is only how big can a depression become if it is more than a Great depression.